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from Gilder Publishing
THE FRIDAY LETTER
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Issue
26.0/Sepetmber 21, 2001
HEADLINES:
* The
Week/ Technologies of Freedom
*
Friday Feature/ Telecom Review
*
Friday Bonus/ Fear Vs Freedom
* Help
Wanted
* Poll
Question/ Market Drop?
*
Readings
*
Conference Calendar
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
THE
WEEK/ Technologies of Freedom
"We
built what became the four bombs; they hijacked them. We supplied the
engineers, turbines, and wings; they supplied suicidal fanatics and cardboard
cutters. The Capitol was saved, apparently, because our civilians overwhelmed
their conscripts in hand-to-hand combat on one of the planes.
"Is
it decent to publish a newsletter like this one at a time like this? Decide for
yourself. When other markets were closed last week, we invested in the United
Way's September 11 Fund and the Red Cross. We are going to continue investing,
as well, in the companies that will develop and stock the arsenals of our
civilization.
"We
believe -- more than ever before -- in the technologies of freedom. When Ithiel
de Sola Pool wrote a book by that title in 1983, he focused, as our friend
George Gilder does, on the Microcosm and the Telecosm, the expansive new
universe of bits, information, networks, and interconnection. Our focus is on
the Powercosm, the expansive new universe of highly ordered power. Power and
logic, we have argued, depend on each other and advance hand in hand.
"For
the past two years we have explored how the growth in Powercosm technologies is
being propelled by the convergence of new power technology on the supply side,
and the rise of the civilian digital economy on the demand side. Now, military
and civilian defense applications will further accelerate both the development
of Powercosm technologies and growth in demand for the capabilities that they
supply.
"We
take no joy in the fact that profits will accrue to companies that supply the
high-tech weapons that secure America. But they will. And they should. The
terrorists are inflamed by demented zealots. Our soldiers are empowered by high
technology and the investors who fund its development and production. For our
part, we will continue to do what we can to help advance understanding of the
technologies of freedom."
Earlier
this week, Peter Huber and Mark Mills released a special, early October edition
of the Digital Power Report to subscribers explaining the global reach of
Powercosm technologies from the telecom network to advanced manufacturing and
military applications. This issue is so timely and important, the authors are
making it available to the entire extended Gilder family. Please go to
www.digitalpowerreport.com and get a copy of the newest Huber Mills Digital
Power Report compliments of Peter and Mark.
~~~~~~~~~~
FRIDAY
FEATURE/ Telecom Review
"The
optical industry's astounding growth rates of last year have gone into reverse.
Plants are being shuttered and tens of thousands of jobs have been, or are
being, cut. Having been through one of the most dramatic expansions experienced
by any part of the technology industry during the boom years, the optical industry
is now suffering one of the most severe busts.
"So
what has gone wrong? The short answer is a steep decline in orders for optical
equipment and fiber from telco and other communications customers. The same
ready availability of funds for the equipment suppliers was also tapped by the
networks for their ambitious expansion plans of the past two years.
"There
were three key areas of expected demand for the bandwidth created - the dotcom
sector, big companies' e-commerce initiatives, and consumer interest in
bandwidth-hungry applications for entertainment, news and sport. These have
either collapsed -- in the case of the dotcoms -- or been slow to develop.
"If
the short-term future looks gloomy, however, there may be grounds for optimism
in the longer term. One area of potential growth is in metropolitan optical
networks. These are designed to ease the bandwidth bottlenecks that prevent
users from taking full advantage of the long-haul optical networks, into which
billions of dollars of investment have been sunk."
The
ever-prolific Financial Times has done it again with a complete Telecom review;
covering all the major players, photonics, optics, networks, switches, fiber,
and lambdas, lambdas, lambdas everywhere! Check it out now at
http://specials.ft.com/telecoms/
~~~~~~~~~~
FRIDAY
BONUS/ Fear Vs Freedom
George
W. Bush speech: Fear Vs Freedom (Full Text)
Must
reading!
http://www.whitehouse.gov/
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technologies will soon transform the world.
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Use his
insights found in Forbes/Andrew Seybold's Wireless Outlook to form
the
foundation of your wireless fortune.
Click here to subscribe today.
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=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
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GET THE
GILDER TECHNOLOGY REPORT
Monthly,
From the Heart of the Telecosm
http://www.gildertech.com/
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
GET THE
DIGITAL POWER REPORT
Electrons
Matter
http://www.digitalpowerreport.com/
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
GET
DYNAMIC SILICON
Linking
the Microcosm and the Telecosm
http://www.dynamicsilicon.com/
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
GET THE
AMERICAN SPECTATOR
Online
special--50% off cover price!
http://www.gilder.com/AmSpecSub.asp
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
~~~~~~~~~~~~
HELP
WANTED: Assistant Editor, The American Spectator
The
American Spectator is looking for a bright energetic new colleague to join the
growing editorial team of America's premier magazine of technology, politics
and finance. Miserable pay, long hours, great experience. Location Great
Barrington MA. Send resume and cover letter explaining why you want the job to
spencer@gilder.com.
~~~~~~~~~~~~
Gilder.com
Poll Results September 7 - September 21, 2001
QUESTION:
Which company will command the global PC market?
RESULTS:
Gateway
- 5%
Dell -
50.00%
HP/Compaq
- 19%
IBM -
15%
Other -
11%
Up
Next: The markets have declined sharply this week because of
*
recent events
* real
economic problems not related ?
Weigh
in now at http://www.gilder.com/
~~~~~~~~~~~~
READINGS
Conexant
Eyes IBM
http://www.siliconstrategies.com/story/OEG20010920S0053
Nextwave
Settlement?
http://www.nytimes.com/2001/09/21/technology/21SPEC.html
(Registration
Required)
Passport,
HailStorm have e-biz ambitions
http://investor.cnet.com/investor/news/newsitem/0-9900-1028-7231441-0.html
AT&T
to Consider Cable-TV Offers of AOL, Disney
http://www.thestandard.com/article/0,1902,29027,00.html?nl=mg
Palm fans duke it out
http://news.cnet.com/news/0-1006-200-7231151.html
The
Wages of War
http://www.economist.com/finance/displayStory.cfm?Story_ID=788296
Billions
Will Be Spent on Replacing Technology
http://www.nytimes.com/2001/09/20/nyregion/20COMP.html
(Registration
required.)
FBI
Pursues Digital Clues
http://www0.mercurycenter.com/local/center/internet0920.htm
Paperless
Terrorists
http://www.wired.com/news/politics/0,1283,46991,00.html
The
Terrorists Are Winning the Cyber War
http://www.latimes.com/technology/la-000075202sep19.story
Scary
Hybrid Internet Worm Loose
http://www.wired.com/news/technology/0,1282,46944,00.html
Feds,
Industry Contemplated Nimda Curfew
http://www.newsbytes.com/news/01/170245.html
Journalism's
Surreal Reality Check
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A40404-2001Sep16.html
Move
over, dot-coms -- biotech firms shopping for office space
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2001/09/17/BU58302.DTL&type=business
Microsft
Antitrust Slowdown
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/134344325_microsoft21.html
Yo
quiero... Jeff Bezos
http://www.thestandard.com/article/0,1902,29032,00.html?nl=mg
-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
GILDER
CONFERENCE CALENDAR
The
conference scheduled for October 18 -19, 2001, in Sarasota, FL, has been
postponed. Please watch www.gilder.com for details on when it will be
re-scheduled.
Steve
Forbes and George Gilder regret to announce that in view of the national
emergency, the Telecosm 2001 Conference, scheduled for September 12-14th, has
been postponed and will be rescheduled. Our prayers are with the victims of the
attacks, their families, and our nation.
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
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FRIDAY
LETTER STAFF
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Dave
Dortman (ddortman@gilder.com)
John
Hammill (jhammill@gilder.com)
E-Mail
Wizard Bob Sauve (rsauve@gilder.com)
CONTRIBUTORS
THIS WEEK: Mark Mills, Peter Huber, Lauryn Franzoni, John Hammill, Aaron
Charlwood, Dave Dortman, Bob Sauve, Spencer Reiss, Sandy Fleischmann
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