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Orginally
published in Forbes ASAP
These articles
have been published in FORBES ASAP, commencing in April 11, 1994.
They are a series excerpted from chapters in George Gilder's book, Telecosm,
which will be published by Simon & Schuster, as a sequel to Microcosm,
published in 1989 and Life After Television, published by Norton
in 1992. Further chapters of Telecosm are scheduled to be published in
future issues of Forbes ASAP.
The
Coming of the Fibersphere
In
a world of dumb terminals and telephones, networks had to be smart. But
in a world of smart terminals, networks have to be dumb.Philip Hope, divisional
vice president for engineering systems of EDS, has an IQ problem. His
chief client and owner, General Motors, wants to interconnect thousands
of 3-D graphics and computer aided engineering (CAE) workstations with
mainframes and supercomputers at Headquarters, with automated assembly
equipment at factories in Lordstown, Indiana, and Detroit, with other
powerful processors at their technical center in Warren, Michigan, with
their Opel plant in Ruesselheim, Germany, and with their design center
outside San Diego. [Full
text]
The
New Rule of Wireless
At
first glance, Vahak Hovnanian, a homebuilding tycoon in New Jersey, would
seem an unlikely sort to be chasing rainbows. Yet in the converging realms
of computers and communications that we call the telecosm, rainbows are
less a matter of hue and weather than they are a metaphor for electromagnetism:
the spectrum of wavelengths and frequencies used to build businesses in
the Information Age.
[Full
text]
Issaquah Miracle
In
the spring of 1989 when Michael Bookey first visited the Middle School
in Issaquah, Wash., to help the school system with its computers, he was
reminded of his early ventures into Communist China. After 20 years of
working with computer networks, to enter Issaquah seemed to me like encountering
an exotic tribe of primitives untouched by the modern world.
[Full
text]
Metcalfe's
Law and Legacy
The
world of networks breaks into two polar paradigms. Most familiar is the
Public Switched Telephone Network. From the tiniest transistor flip-flop
on a modem chip through labyrinthine layers of rising complexity on up
to a 4ESS supercomputer switch linking 107,520 telephone trunk lines (itself
consisting of millions of interconnected transistors), the public network
is a vast, deterministic web of wires and switches. [Full
text]
Digital
Dark HorseNewspapers
The
perennial question of all suitors of fate and fortune now whispers and
resounds through conference resorts, executive retreats and consulting
sessions across the land as business leaders from Hollywood to Wall Street
pose with pundits and ponder the new world of converging technologies.
Symbolized in a famous mandala by MITs Media Lab, this grand fondue
of information toolsto be served la carte on a flat-panel screenis
foreseen to be a $3.5 trillion feast for American business sometime early
next century. [Full
text]
Life After Television,
Updated
In
1994, four years after I wrote the first edition of Life After Television,
the cornucopian afterlife is indeed at hand. With microchips and fiber
optics eroding the logic of centralized institutions, networks of personal
computers are indeed overthrowing IBM and CBS, NTT and EEC. But as the
great pyramids of the broadcast and industrial erasthe familiar
masters of the American immigrationbreak apart, new fear and anxieties
arise about the future. [Full
text]
Auctioning The
Airways
Imagine
it is 1971 and you are chair of the new Federal Computer Commission. This
commission has been established to regulate the natural monopoly of computer
technology as summed up in the famous Groschs Law. In 1956 IBM engineer
Herbert Grosch proved that computer power rises by the square of its cost
and thus necessarily gravitates to the most costly machines. According
to a famous IBM projection, the entire world could use some 55 mainframes,
time-sharing from dumb terminals and keypunch machines. [Full
text]
Washington's
Bogeymen
Big
Government and Mass Media always feed on fear of monsters. While politicians
promise to protect the people from the dreaded private sector, leading
newspapers such as the Washington Post and network shows such as 60
Minutes chime in with continuing reports on the economy as seen
from the shores of Loch Ness. [Full
text]
Ethersphere
New
low earth orbit satellites mark as decisive a break in the history of
space-based communications as the PC represented in the history of computing.
Pay attention to much-maligned Teledesic. Backed by Craig McCaw and Bill
Gates, it is the only LEO fully focused on serving computers. [Full
text]
The
Bandwidth Tidal Wave
Craig
Mundie of Microsoft thinks that Tiger, his video-on-demand operating system,
signals a fundamental shift in the computer industry. Ruling the new era
will be bandwidth measured in billions of bits per second rather than
in the millions of instructions per second of current computers.
[Full
text]
Gilder
Meets His Critics
The
"Critics" comments in this article and the response by George
Gilder, provides third party opinions and analysis that has not heretofore
been available in the long running Telecosm Series. [Full
text]
Mike
Milken & The Two Trillion Dollar Opportunity
It's
time to deregulate America's telecom infrastructure. And let the creative
destroyers go to work. MICHAEL MILKEN IS BACK! Back, so the story goes,
from the orgies of 80s greed, back from the best-selling den of
thieves, back from his preening at the predators' ball, back from soft
time at Pleasanton pen, back from prostate cancer and plagues of litigation,
back to tell his own book to William Novak and to buy his redemption with
the spoils of his crimes. [Full
text]
From Wires To
Waves
U.S.
Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska wants to know: With deregulation of telecommunications,
who will bring connections to Unalakleet, to Aleknagik and to Sleetmute?
Who will bring 500 channels up the Yukon with the salmon to the people
in Beaver? What will happen to the Yupik, the Inupiat and the Inuit? Will
we leave them stranded in the snow while the world zooms off to new riches
on an information superhighway? [Full
text]
The Coming Software
Shift
What
will it take to launch a new Bill Gatesan Archimedean man who sharply
shifts the center of the sphere, alters the axes of technology and economy,
and builds a new business empire on new foundations? Who can inherit the
imperial throne in the microcosm and telecosm currently held by the Redmond
Rockefeller? [Full
text]
Angst And Awe On The Internet
Well,
it had to happen. As the Internet emerges as the central nervous system
of global capitalism, the Luddite left is bursting into "flames"
against the microcosm and telecosm, against interlinked computers and
the global radiance of electromagnetic communications.
[Full
text]
Goliath At Bay
Goliath
in the vale of Elah roared his contempt at the weapons and zeal of David:
"Do you think me a dog that you contest me with sticks and stones?"
[Full
text]
Feasting On The
Giant Peach
What is all this commotion in Massachusetts? The very source
of the ARPAnet at Bolt, Beranek & Newmanthe cradle of the InternetMassachusetts
is falling to the forces of Auntie Spiker and Aunt Sponge. [Full
text]
Fiber Keeps Its
Promise
Today,
communications technologies are unleashing the Internet as the definitive
force of a new industrial era, rendering the CPU peripheral and the net
central. This "paradigm shift" is fundamental to comprehending
the advent of the Telecosm. [Full
text]
Inventing
The Internet Again
For the first time in his life as an engineer, Paul Baran was "scared
stiff." That can happen to people who stumble too close to the abyss
of 20th-century history and look over the edge. Born in 1926 in a house
in a corner of Poland that had been claimed by three different nations
during his parents tenure, brought to America by his family at the
age of 2, Baran was a child of European tempests. [Full
text]
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